By Catherine A. Pattillo,Andrew Berg,Gian-Maria Milesi-Ferretti,Eduardo Borensztein
fresh years have witnessed a rise within the frequency of forex and stability of funds crises in constructing nations. extra very important, the crises became extra virulent, have triggered frequent disruption to different constructing international locations, and feature even had repercussions on complicated economies. to foretell crises, their explanations needs to be basically understood. competing strands of theories are reviewed during this paper. the 1st specializes in the results of such regulations as over the top credits development in frightening depletion of foreign currency reserves and creating a devaluation enevitable. the second one emphasizes the trade-offs among inner and exterior stability that the policymaker faces in protecting a peg.
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Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises--The Role of Early Warning Systems (Occasional Paper (International Monetary Fund)) by Catherine A. Pattillo,Andrew Berg,Gian-Maria Milesi-Ferretti,Eduardo Borensztein
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